Why Newt Is Running

According to a Newt Spokesperson, former House Speaker Newt Gengrich will announce his candidacy for US President this coming Wednesday.  There are three facts to understand about this.  1.  Newt can not beat Obama.  2.  Newt can not even win the nomination.  3.  Newt knows this.  Why is Newt running?

In review of history, the only man ever to win the Presidency after a break in his service in the House of Representatives was Abraham Lincoln.  I did not personally know Abe Lincoln, but I can tell you that Newt is no Abraham Lincoln.  Nor will the black swan that sunk the Democrats in election of 1860 re-appear.  We all pray that those circumstances never repeat themselves.  Although some would believe that Newt has the ego to believe he can make history, there is no doubt in my mind that not even Newt Gengrich has a big enough ego to believe that he can pull it off.  There has to be enough of a realist inside of Newt and his supporters to know what he is up against.  Newt has been out of politics for 15 years, he has been a Fox News Contributor, and he has become nothing more than the Pat Buchanan of the 2010's.

The reason why Newt is running for the Presidency is because he believes that Romney and Huckabee, the leaders for the GOP nomination are both too moderate and he wants to push the candidacy to a more conservative nominee.  But neither is a clear enough of a front runner to know for certain who the nominee will be at this point.  As there is no clear leader right now, he feels that he can influence the voters and move the nomination to someone more conservative.  Newt believes he has enough influence in the GOP to pull this off.

There are, of course, some flaws in this thinking.  This plan will fail if Newt has no chance of winning the nomination after the South Carolina Primary.  But if there is still no clear leader after South Carolina, and Newt is still in the race, then his plan will work.  The question then becomes, who does the king maker favor?  I can only tell you who he does not like.  He does not like some of the more moderate choices out there, namely Romney, Huntsman and Pawlenty.  The more conservative choices such as Palin and Daniels are Newt favorites.  If one of them is in striking distance, and Newt has some delegates in his pocket, expect him to drop out and make an endorsement.