Here is the current state-by-state picture for the January and February Primaries.
Iowa Caucus, January 3...Romney has a slim lead in Iowa, Cain is still in second
New Hampshire Primary, January 10...Romney has a significant lead in New Hampshire, Bauchmann is still in second
South Carolina Primary, January 21...Romney is ahead in South Carolina with Gingrich in second
Florida Primary, January 31...Romney is leading in Florida with Paul in second
Nevada Caucus, February 4...Romney is tied with Cain and Gingrich in Nevada
Maine Primary, February 4...Romney is ahead in Maine with Perry in second
Colorado Primary, February 7...Romney is ahead in Colorado with Gingrich in second
Minnesota Primary, February 7...Bauchmann is ahead in Minnesota with Romney in second
Arizona Primary, February 28...Romney is ahead in Arizona with Perry in second
Michigan Primary, February 28...Romney is slightly ahead in Michigan with Gingrich in second
Romney is not ahead of the margin of error in any state but New Hampshire and Maine, but if this holds up, Romney will have significant momentum heading into Super Tuesday on March 6th.
But if Romney loses in every state except for New Hampshire and Maine and Michigan, then the GOP could be a real mess. You could have a virtual 4-way tie heading into Super Tuesday.
For Example,
Iowa...Cain
New Hampshire...Romney
South Carolina...Gingrich
Florida...Paul
Nevada...Romney
Maine...Romney
Colorado...Gingrich
Minnesota...Bauchmann
Arizona...Perry
Michigan...Gingrich
So, who is the leader at this point?
But I feel if Romney wins in South Carolina, then the GOP race is all but over.
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